Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.031881 0.037269 0.043209 0.050233 0.058300 0.067263 0.077965
2025-07-13 0.025361 0.032766 0.041690 0.053191 0.067566 0.084885 0.107272
2025-07-20 0.020529 0.028965 0.039953 0.055204 0.075689 0.102109 0.138587
2025-07-27 0.016015 0.024493 0.036346 0.053929 0.079110 0.113586 0.164001
2025-08-03 0.012955 0.021319 0.033780 0.053400 0.083134 0.126029 0.191963
2025-08-10 0.010387 0.018308 0.030832 0.051666 0.084917 0.135221 0.216092
2025-08-17 0.008512 0.015996 0.028500 0.050378 0.086986 0.144798 0.241565
2025-08-24 0.007267 0.014488 0.027175 0.050421 0.091009 0.157623 0.273203
2025-08-31 0.006062 0.012806 0.025252 0.049091 0.092454 0.166281 0.298815
2025-09-07 0.005534 0.012300 0.025333 0.051279 0.100164 0.186051 0.344777
2025-09-14 0.004835 0.011314 0.024345 0.051307 0.103923 0.199287 0.380646
2025-09-21 0.004107 0.010122 0.022755 0.049923 0.104816 0.207407 0.408070
2025-09-28 0.003541 0.009190 0.021579 0.049252 0.107106 0.218520 0.442471
2025-10-05 0.003327 0.009033 0.022022 0.052000 0.116531 0.244013 0.506266
2025-10-12 0.003068 0.008717 0.022064 0.053890 0.124407 0.267265 0.567917
2025-10-19 0.002636 0.007872 0.020759 0.052602 0.125406 0.276955 0.603805
2025-10-26 0.002310 0.007237 0.019846 0.052065 0.127939 0.289955 0.647461
2025-11-02 0.001972 0.006489 0.018525 0.050361 0.127628 0.296944 0.679309
2025-11-09 0.001703 0.005881 0.017454 0.049099 0.128153 0.305709 0.715595
2025-11-16 0.001525 0.005505 0.016931 0.049137 0.131734 0.321437 0.768139
2025-11-23 0.001320 0.004995 0.015952 0.047838 0.131895 0.329502 0.804520
2025-11-30 0.001255 0.004935 0.016237 0.049973 0.140857 0.358463 0.890086
2025-12-07 0.001130 0.004638 0.015782 0.050001 0.144442 0.375210 0.949178